{"id":958,"date":"2026-08-05T11:09:23","date_gmt":"2026-08-05T14:09:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/umuarama.link\/?p=958"},"modified":"2026-08-05T11:09:23","modified_gmt":"2026-08-05T14:09:23","slug":"pesquisa-genial-quaest-lula-tem-39-das-intencoes-de-voto-no-1o-turno-flavio-bolsonaro-30","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/umuarama.link\/?p=958","title":{"rendered":"Pesquisa Genial\/Quaest: Lula tem 39% das inten\u00e7\u00f5es de voto no 1\u00ba turno; Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro, 30%"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Margem de erro do levantamento \u00e9 de dois pontos percentuais<\/em>
5 ago 2026 \u2013 07h11<\/p>\n\n\n\n

O presidente Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva (PT) mant\u00e9m a lideran\u00e7a nas inten\u00e7\u00f5es de voto para o primeiro turno das elei\u00e7\u00f5es presidenciais de 2026, com 39%, segundo pesquisa Genial\/Quaest divulgada nesta quarta-feira (5). O senador Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro (PL) aparece em segundo lugar, com 30%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A diferen\u00e7a entre os dois candidatos \u00e9 de nove pontos percentuais. A margem de erro do levantamento \u00e9 de dois pontos percentuais, para mais ou para menos, o que coloca a vantagem de Lula fora do empate t\u00e9cnico.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

O cen\u00e1rio estimulado do primeiro turno mostra o petista \u00e0 frente, seguido pelo filho do ex-presidente Jair Bolsonaro. Os demais nomes testados ficam em patamares bem inferiores, sem amea\u00e7ar a polariza\u00e7\u00e3o entre os dois primeiros colocados \u2014 padr\u00e3o que tem se repetido em levantamentos recentes da mesma instituto.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Segundo turno<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Nas simula\u00e7\u00f5es de segundo turno, Lula tamb\u00e9m aparece na frente de Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro. Em pesquisas anteriores da Genial\/Quaest, o presidente chegou a registrar 45% contra 37% do senador. A tend\u00eancia de lideran\u00e7a do petista se mant\u00e9m, embora a dist\u00e2ncia tenha oscilado ao longo dos \u00faltimos meses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Em junho, a Quaest j\u00e1 apontava Lula com 39% e Fl\u00e1vio com 29% no primeiro turno. Em julho, o presidente subiu para 40% e ampliou a vantagem no segundo turno. O novo n\u00famero de agosto (39% a 30%) indica estabilidade na lideran\u00e7a de Lula, com leve avan\u00e7o de Fl\u00e1vio em rela\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0 pesquisa de junho.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Contexto e metodologia<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

A pesquisa Genial\/Quaest integra a s\u00e9rie de levantamentos que monitoram a disputa presidencial de 2026. O instituto tem registrado Lula na frente em todos os cen\u00e1rios de primeiro e segundo turnos testados nos \u00faltimos meses, enquanto Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro se consolida como principal nome da oposi\u00e7\u00e3o no momento.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

O levantamento ouviu eleitores em todo o pa\u00eds, com margem de erro de dois pontos percentuais e n\u00edvel de confian\u00e7a de 95%. Como as demais pesquisas da s\u00e9rie, est\u00e1 registrada na Justi\u00e7a Eleitoral.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A polariza\u00e7\u00e3o entre o campo petista e o bolsonarista continua dominando o quadro eleitoral. Outros pr\u00e9-candidatos, como Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, Renan Santos e nomes ligados ao centro, seguem com inten\u00e7\u00f5es de voto de um d\u00edgito nas medi\u00e7\u00f5es mais recentes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A pesquisa refor\u00e7a o quadro de estabilidade na lideran\u00e7a de Lula no primeiro turno, com Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro como principal advers\u00e1rio, em um cen\u00e1rio ainda sujeito a oscila\u00e7\u00f5es at\u00e9 o in\u00edcio oficial da campanha.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Margem de erro do levantamento \u00e9 de dois pontos percentuais5 ago 2026 \u2013 07h11 O presidente Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva (PT) mant\u00e9m a lideran\u00e7a nas inten\u00e7\u00f5es de voto para o primeiro turno das elei\u00e7\u00f5es presidenciais de 2026, com 39%, segundo pesquisa Genial\/Quaest divulgada nesta quarta-feira (5). O senador Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro (PL) aparece em segundo … Ler mais<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":959,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-958","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-geral"],"yoast_head":"\nPesquisa Genial\/Quaest: Lula tem 39% das inten\u00e7\u00f5es de voto no 1\u00ba turno; Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro, 30% - Umuarama.Link<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/umuarama.link\/?p=958\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pt_BR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Pesquisa Genial\/Quaest: Lula tem 39% das inten\u00e7\u00f5es de voto no 1\u00ba turno; Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro, 30% - Umuarama.Link\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Margem de erro do levantamento \u00e9 de dois pontos percentuais5 ago 2026 \u2013 07h11 O presidente Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva (PT) mant\u00e9m a lideran\u00e7a nas inten\u00e7\u00f5es de voto para o primeiro turno das elei\u00e7\u00f5es presidenciais de 2026, com 39%, segundo pesquisa Genial\/Quaest divulgada nesta quarta-feira (5). 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